What Time Is The Chicago Bears Football Game On Basic Investor Guide to Ugly Bear Markets

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Basic Investor Guide to Ugly Bear Markets

In most years, most stocks go up…the stock market goes up. Most of the time, the stock market is not very interesting, and stock prices fluctuate moderately. Most of the time we are in a bull market, where stocks are rising. In a bear market, prices are falling. When stock prices fall, this is an exception that definitely attracts public attention.

This is especially true today, as millions of uninformed investors stake their financial future on stocks (stock funds) in 401(k) and IRA plans. Here’s your essential investor’s guide to the bear markets of the recent past. How much have share prices fallen before and how does this compare to 2007-2009?

In measuring stock markets or average stock performance, we will focus on the DOV JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (DJIA). This stock indicator is the oldest and still the most popular among investors, often referred to simply as DOV. It tells you how the big blue chip stocks are doing and basically indicates how stocks are doing in general.

Historically, stocks have returned about 10% per year over the long term. If the Dow falls 5% in a week, the vast majority of investors lose money. When it falls 20% or more over a period of time, we are in a bear market, and virtually all stock investors (except the rare speculator) are losing money.

History can give us a sense of perspective and serve as a basic guide for investors. Now let’s look at some really ugly stock markets.

The bear market that began in 1929 was the worst in American history, with the Dow down 89% from its lowest point in 1932. It took about two decades for stock prices to return to their previous highs of 1929. The main reason for the market crash : excessive financial leverage. Investors raised stock prices with borrowed money.

1973-1974: In less than two years, the stock market fell by 45%. This bear market was accompanied by rising interest rates and higher inflation.

2000-2002: The Dow fell 38%, but emerging stocks were rocked (especially high-tech stocks). The NASDAQ composite index has fallen 78% in less than three years. Stocks that rose like a rocket fell to the ground like a stone. Investor speculation has created excessive stock prices, especially in areas related to personal computers, the Internet and mobile phones.

2007-2009: After rising for about five years, stock prices began to fall in the fall of 2007. A year later, the financial crisis acted as a catalyst and the market plunged. At the beginning of 2009, share prices fell by over 50%. The world financial system and economies around the world were in serious trouble.

Again, excessive financial influence and speculation played a large role. Major financial institutions, other corporations, investors and homeowners participated in this game. Financial leverage is simply investing with borrowed money. Some big Wall Street companies have gone to unbelievable extremes. Some people on Main Street were also working, speculating in real estate with little or no money.

To summarize, the bear market that began in late 2007 is the worst since the Great Depression. The end cannot be accurately predicted. Investors generally focus about six months into the future. When, and only when, they see a brighter future, they will start buying and the stock prices will go higher. If the trend continues, a new bull market is born.

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