What Time Is The Uk Football Game This Saturday How To Find Elusive Football Draws

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How To Find Elusive Football Draws

Football draw – hard to find, aren’t they? Eight of them are key to winning a major UK football pool, but you might just want to find two or three for a specialist fixed-odds bet or a run of trebles, perhaps in the Australian, German, Spanish or Italian leagues. Typically, over a league weekend in a UK football season and 49 games on the ticket, there will be an average of 9 football draws and many of these will be predictable using a good prediction system. Scoreless football averages around 4-5 points per week.

How do we find them?

Well, in the British league season, most teams play close to ‘form’, but Cup matches are more of a lottery where ‘giant kills’ happen quite often, and best avoided if you’re serious about winning football pools. So, to begin with, we only bet when the odds are optimal, which means league games. In fact, we don’t bet on when ‘form’ is likely to be threatened – on Boxing Day, for example.

With a good football draw prediction system, you will be able to monitor the form and eliminate matches that are certain for the home team to win – usually there could be 22 home wins, many of which will be easy to predict. As for away wins, they are more difficult to predict and on average there will be 13-14 away wins on the slip each week.

So let’s say we can predict 90% home wins – that’s about 19 matches, and maybe 50% away wins – that’s 7 more matches. So, from the coupons as a whole, with a reliable forecast system, we can expect 26 matches (home and away). There are 23 games left, of which we have to find 8 football draws.

Now, with a good plan or permanent, combining maybe 17 or 18 predictions – some plans even give coverage of 24 games, then you can see that the chances of getting 8 football draws in a row are greatly increased. Of course, using the plan means you sacrifice perfection to achieve more coverage (after all, there are 451 million ways to pick 8 football draws from 49 games). You probably won’t hit the jackpot, but you’ll have lower value wins more often and you should be able to turn a profit.

So you can see that an effective tie prediction system is a must.

What are the key aspects of a good soccer draw prediction system?

Well, apart from knowing when to bet and when to avoid betting and throwing money away, you need to be able to analyze form and come up with football draw predictions. When it comes to form, how far back do you have to go? How will a team promoted from the Championship perform in the Premier League (and vice versa?)

Use statistics selectively

My view is that the first few weeks of the season are when we don’t get a reliable picture of form in the league division, and it takes a few weeks for that form to show. Some pundits will look at long-term patterns and suggest that some teams are experts at winning at home and some have a good (or bad) away record. It may be useful in the final analysis, but I don’t take such things into account when looking for football draws. So how far back should we look? Certainly not last season – I’m working with less than half a dozen match history (league games only).

Rate the teams

Next, you need to have a consistent way of evaluating the team’s performance – and this should take into account the strength of the opposition. This leaves you with a list of teams and performance ratings.

Now you should look at the upcoming matches and compare the ratings of the teams. Adjust home advantage and make any other adjustments you see fit (new player or manager, injury to key player?). Next, arrange the list in order of the likely outcome of the game. At one end of the list will be the most likely home wins. At the other end, the guests will most likely win. In the middle will be juice – where we find the elusive football draw block.

Find the juice

You then take the middle part of the match and, depending on your budget, decide how much to cover using your permanent or plan. You could reasonably expect a win in those weeks with 11-14 football draws.

If we can find 60% draws when there are 13 or 14 in the results, then we will have 8 – 9 draws. This is where a good investment plan comes in, to maximize your chances of matching your football draws.

It’s important to see that this is a percentage approach, and all you want to do is get the odds on your side and find the majority of those elusive football draws. A few wins in a season should bring you a profit, and as always, the devil is in the details!

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