When Should I Draft Defensive Players In Fantasy Football Does it Make Sense to Sit Postup Fantasy Basketball Players Against Top Ranked Defenses?

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Does it Make Sense to Sit Postup Fantasy Basketball Players Against Top Ranked Defenses?

This article will explore how important matchups are in fantasy basketball. We all know that fantasy football is a game that is very dependent on defensive matchups so we wanted to see if defensive matchups are also a factor in fantasy basketball. Specifically, we wanted to focus our analysis on the impact of superior interior defense on the low post offense. To do this, we examined the average performance of post players compared to the interior defense forces of the premier league.

A quick scan of the league shows that only Boston, LA, Denver and San Antonio have the kind of interior defense to shy away from. Boston has a combination of Garnett, Sheed and Kendrick Perkins that is probably the best the league has to offer. All three are only about 7 feet tall, and Garnett is a former Defensive Player of the Year. The Lakers are also an above average size team. Between Gasol, Beaum, Odem and Artest, the Lakers have one of the best interior defenses in the Western Conference.

Denver is the only Western Conference team that could contend for that title with Nene, Birdman and Kenyon Martin combining like Megatron to keep the Nuggets from blocking shots in the upper decks. Finally, any discussion of interior defense cannot ignore the San Antonio Spurs who always bring it defensively. Duncan and McDisess are two old school defensive players who, with great defense from their teammates on the help side, can really shut down opponents post game.

Let’s dig into some numbers. Table 1 shows the average point and rebound differential for NBA post-player teams against the four superior defensive teams used in our dataset. In aggregate, post players can expect to see a drop in scoring (-3.07ppg) and rebounding (-0.71rpg) when going up against the league’s top defense. While these results aren’t huge departures from a given post-player season average, the message is that you shouldn’t expect a monster game to boost your season average when playing against an elite defense.

Several other interesting points emerge from this analysis. First, the impact of superior post defense has a greater impact on scoring than rebounding. Furthermore, the analysis shows that while we have qualitatively identified 4 superior defensive teams, Boston and Denver appear to be a level above the defenses of San Antonio and LA. In fact, if you remove SA and LA, then the difference in average points and rebounds becomes -6 points per minute and close to -1 point per minute.

So the question remains whether you should bench players based on defensive math rebounds. We will stick to the same recommendation we gave for football. Never bench your stars, instead use defensive matchups as a go/no-go decision metric to play mid-range or inconsistent players.

So there you have it, defensive tackles play a role in fantasy basketball, at least from a post player’s perspective. While the differences aren’t drastic, they support the fact that your mid-range players are less likely to perform better against superior defenses. Lucky for you, the NBA has become very much a guard game and only a few defenses with enough personnel to cause matchup problems is a low position.

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